About "The Trading Pit."
"The Trading Pit" page on this website is private for members only. To join The Trading Pit group, you must subscribe ONLY through "Trading Pit Pricing Plans" and select and commit to a 12-month subscription. "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" on that page is a real bargain, as it only costs $124.99/month for all 46 markets currently analyzed by The Quant Box---and you receive membership access to a private room at "The Trading Pit" where The Quant Box Model Portfolio is posted.
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The Quant Box Model Portfolio Introduction:
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Members there receive the alerts for The Quant Box Model Portfolio, whose theoretical performance has been demonstrated. There is also a special incentive to those members who believe in us and help us launch this site. The first 1,000 subscribers to "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" who subscribe through the "Trading Pit Pricing Plans" portal may receive a gift from Jackass Banker LLC each year, with certain conditions attached, as explained in the member welcome letter below (a version of which is posted as a welcome letter at the private "The Trading Pit"). Since The Trading Pit group and related pages are for members subscribing through the portal, the letter and introduction are reprinted here.
Traders and investors may also wish to browse through our store under "Shop" as this also provides explanations of subscription products in further detail. Just remember, you do NOT receive the model portfolio bundled with your subscription, or Trading Pit membership, unless you subscribe through the Trading Pit Pricing Plans web page portal of this site. Finally, only a subscription through this portal for all 46 markets will get you in on the "ground floor"---as explained below---if you are among the first 1,000 subscribers who stay with us. Thank you.
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Welcome to "The Trading Pit!"
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Special Introductory Notice:
This welcoming letter has import information, especially for the first 1,000 subscribers to "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" who joined through The Trading Pit's special pricing plan. The offer (and "extras") through that portal is ONLY available through the "Trading Pit Pricing Plan" page. It is NOT available at the regular "Shop" ecommerce store at thequantbox.com. Traders interested in getting in on the ground floor with some potentially important extras should purchase this subscription through The Trading Pit's special pricing plans.
No stock, futures, or options exchange was ever built on its own. It took members.
Members at these institutions traditionally have a "seat" which they pay for, and over time, many seats became quite valuable. Those members can buy or sell their seat as well---as the free market dictates.
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Here at The Quant Box, we do not have traditional "seats," and we do not sell them, either. However, we are placing a 1,000-subscriber limit on the number of subscriptions sold for "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" who will qualify for the extra incentive to join through The Trading Pit's special pricing plan (described below). Once that limit is reached and those initial 1,000 "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" subscribers maintain their monthly subscription commitment (every month, 12-months a year), those members can potentially receive a special gift as "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" subscriptions grow through either The Trading Pit Pricing Plans, or regular ecommerce "Shop" store. ​
The First 1,000
Once the first 1,000 subscriptions are sold through The Trading Pit Pricing Plans portal for "The Quant Box All 46 Markets," members may receive on a pro-rata basis, a 50% net profit share on any new "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" subscriptions above the "1,000 mark" sold. ​
For example, if after six months there are 1,000 existing "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" subscribers (who subscribed only through The Trading Pit Pricing Plans), we plan to gift them a 50% share, on a pro-rata basis, of those net profits from those subscriptions for new "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" which push these subscriptions above the "1,000 mark," whether from the pricing plans or the regular store. If the following year their subscriptions triple, the original 1,000 "seat" members/subscribers (if they have maintained their membership---and if they do not, then they shall have no rights to any net profits from subscriptions) may receive on a pro-rata basis 50% of the net profits on the 2,000 additional subscribers for the "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" subscriptions (from a total of 3,000 subscribers in this theoretical example). The amount of money to be split up with the planned gift before any cost deductions and taxes which may be incurred by Jackass Banker, would total $1,499,880, at today's subscription price of $124.99/month (and this number may change if prices change for this subscription). The net amount would then be spread across those first 1,000 subscribers who maintained their original 12-month, year-round subscription to "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" for the entire period. Under those circumstances the 1,000 maintaining subscribers may each receive a gift of $1,499.88 in this hypothetical example. ​
There is no limit as to the number of "The Quant Box All 46 Market" subscriptions which may be purchased by any single subscriber, because many smart pit traders bought multiple seats when exchanges opened up.
...and Wall Street knows how they did in those trades! ​
Those who are late to the party and do not become one of the first "1,000" subscribers to "The Quant Box All 46 Markets" can still participate and receive access to The Trading Pit, The Model Portfolio, and The Quant Box signals---they just will not be eligible for the potential "gift." For many reasons, this "gift" shall remain uncertain, and there is no way to know if there will be what amounts to a subscription rebate back to the original 1,000 "The Quant Box All 46 Market" subscribers. Also, Jackass Banker LLC reserves the right to cancel this gift-giving plan at any time related to the first "1,000" subscribers who subscribed through the Trading Pit Pricing Plans​ portal for "The Quant Box All 46 Markets." But our plan is not to piss off our subscribers! We just have to leave it open and flexible.
If you do not want to subscribe to all 46 markets, but prefer sector selection directly, you can still gain access to The Trading Pit, The Quant Box Signals for your sector(s), and The Model Portfolio. All updates will be posted in the private member group(s) listed to the "right" on the Trading Pit group page (e.g. if you subscribe to Cryptocurrency, your Bitcoin Quant Box signals will be privately posted to the Crypto Pit, along with the Model Portfolio, etc.).
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Why The Trading Pit & The Quant Box Are Important
At The Trading Pit, you can connect with other members, share ideas, and create a trading environment where thoughts, ideas, strategies and your own trading decisions can be weighed against the power of The Quant Box signals, and your discussions with others. ​ The Quant Box signals are posted daily, in the private member trading pits, M-F, or over the weekend after a given week's market close, in time for Sunday's futures market opening at 6pm ET. We try and publish the data on Friday, if possible, because money never sleeps. Cryptocurrency, OTC trading, and foreign markets may very well be running while many of the major markets in the U.S. are closed. We try to arm you with educational weapons and tools which might help your trading on a timely basis, regardless of the market we cover! The model portfolio is updated when changes occur, or every week, or so in a quiet market situation. ​
To join, simply subscribe to any service you desire through the Trading Pit Pricing Plans portal, and by joining, all subscribers become members of The Trading Pit and shall receive The Quant Box Model Portfolio (see 2019 results below) and signal updates. Unlike The Quant Box (which tracks the "virgin" underlying futures/security index/point changes in a given market), The Quant Box Model Portfolio uses simulated leverage in accordance with exchange, or bank/entity requirements, and selected markets chosen by Mr. Kelly. The Quant Box Model Portfolio also incorporates simulated fees and commissions, etc. into its summary of trading activity. It is theoretical, so the "real" prices and profits/losses if applied in the marketplace will indeed be different (please read the "Terms and Conditions" for using The Quant Box and this website found in the product descriptions and pricing plans shopping cart checkout, and the Risk Disclosures on The Quant Box Trading Signals and The Quant Box Performance page). ​
The Quant Box Model Portfolio In a 90-day simulation in 2019 performed by Robert Kelly, the theoretical results below were obtained (+124% theoretically over 90 days, trades were corroborated via Gmail time stamp at the time). Over the 90-day period, there were dozens of trades (across many more markets than the final "snapshot" below shows). All trades were sent out via alert---e.g. contemporaneous email time stamp, and the underlying markets for these trades included many of the most liquid markets on earth. Obviously, a Black Swan event, or market news, and/or price changes in the "real" market between the time a signal was issued and the trade actually getting executed---can and will alter these results. ​ Nevertheless, the results of this transparent, educational trading simulation hosted and directed by Mr. Kelly, are quite interesting.
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Note: Wix videos are optimized for Chrome. If you get a "black screen"in the video player, clear your browser's cache/browsing data through "settings."
As our terms & conditions indicate, past performance is not any guarantee of future results. The Quant Box Model Portfolio is designed to provide an additional educational tool, to illustrate how leverage could be applied using The Quant Box, along with selective, strategic coverage of markets---chosen by Mr. Kelly. Mr. Kelly's forecasting abilities, as a result, are naturally integrated into The Quant Box Model Portfolio. Just like any hedge fund manager, Mr. Kelly has to make the tough call on when to buy, sell, sell short, and/or exit. In fact, The Quant Box Model Portfolio may "Exit" positions before an official "Exit" signal is given by The Quant Box---as Mr. Kelly sees fit! This is to teach/show how each trader can use his, or her, own ability and market intelligence to make the final decision in a trade. It is only natural that people all think differently and may have better insight into a particular market than others.
The Quant Box attempts to help instill discipline through risk management principles programmed into the stops and exit signals it may issue, with a tip-off that "something" may be happening in a given market, as its "Go Long" and "Sell Short" signals issue an alert. In a very poor Hollywood comparison, it seems The Quant Box is making a virtual effort to be like Dan Akroyd in "Trading Places" when Winthorpe said, "Pork bellies! ...hmmm, I have a hunch something very exciting is going to happen in the pork belly market this morning..." (tip of the hat to Eddie Murphy, Dan Akroyd and the amazing team on that great film, "Trading Places").
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The better you are at allocating capital to markets, moving in the direction you anticipate, it increases the probability you will do well. The Quant Box signals are used to help a trader, or investor, obtain additional evidence a trend may be forming in a given market...and when to enter that "up," (i.e. "Go Long") or "down" (i.e. "Sell Short") trend---and when it may be a good time to get out.
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With the "Go Long," "Sell Short," and "Exit" signals issued by The Quant Box, a measure of risk management is made available to the trader and/or investor without emotion. Discipline is key. If you ignore stops (i.e. "Exit" signals and the "Stop Alert" signals contained in The Quant Box Market Signals), you are destined for failure over time in all probability, and you shouldn't be trading in the first place.
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One of the most important things a trader can do is eliminate emotion from their trading. Emotion runs the crowd, and most of the time over the long haul, the "crowd" is wrong. Good traders anticipate the change in the room and make a move.
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The Quant Box does not run on emotion. Admittedly, The Quant Box Model Portfolio will definitely maintain a bias---and that bias will be skewed toward Mr. Kelly's strategic insight into markets, events, and geopolitics, worldwide.
Just a Quick Note on "Elliott"
Let's say a word about the many fine Elliott Wave analysts who make a living by selling their wave charts (and their opinions, believe it, or not!).
How many times have you, as an experienced trader, seen a group of "Elliotticians" call for an end of a "Wave 2," or "Wave 4," and then see the analyst extend that wave structure to the "right" for days, weeks, or months---only to redraw their wave chart, turn a zig-zag into a triple zig-zag with seemingly perfect fit, but only after a move is completed?
If any of you have seen this in precious metals, for example, or other markets----you are not alone; there seem to be times when certain "Elliotticians" allow their obvious underlying conviction about a market's presumed long-term trend impact decision-making for short-term trading (i.e. short term could be days, weeks, or even, many, many months!). This is a recipe for disaster if you are using leveraged securities, or options, and if you are not Warren Buffett or "Mom and Pop" simply holding and praying for a rising market to make you money (the market always recovers, right?), you might not see eye-to-eye with Elliott people all the time.
Tactically, there is always time premium evaporation of prices when using leveraged securities, and using any tool to help with timing can be hugely beneficial to a professional trader, or hedge fund manager. From personal experience, there haven't been very many pure Elliott analysts account for this factor in their analysis. Some do, for sure, but not many.
For the record, as you might have guessed, The Quant Box does not rely on "waves." What was interesting over the multi-year development of The Quant Box, was the ability to combine the market intelligence signals offered by The Quant Box with the normal, everyday trading-intelligence gathering---and then target markets which seem ripe for action. That includes, among many other things: geopolitical and economic information, industry and company intel, as well as technical analysis (i.e. Elliott, Gann, etc.).
At the end of the day, our hope is traders find The Trading Pit and its many associated member "Pits" helpful to them---in both time efficiency (i.e. the ability to scan daily Quant Box signals in seconds for buy and sell alerts, and/or EXIT signals), and snap-shot access to The Model Portfolio updates, where Mr. Kelly uses his efforts and work in an attempt to help the cause of the members. If theoretical trades are made to The Quant Box Model Portfolio---an email alert will go out to members, with a formal snapshot of the portfolio posted later. It takes a bit of time to record the trade in the portfolio, account for commissions, margin, number of contracts, prices, etc. Also, be advised it is possible errors could occur! Again, please refer back to the Terms and Conditions you signed off on before purchasing The Quant Box signals for any market, or sector, along with the Risk Factors.
As an FYI, the plan is to "reset" the model portfolio at the beginning of each year, to more easily track its performance. Historical portfolios will have been posted as a matter of record. If there are any changes to what is outlined above, they will be posted here at The Trading Pit for all members to read.
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Good luck and good trading.
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Sincerely,
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Jackass Banker LLC
by: Robert L. Kelly
its: Managing Member